Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.851268 0.957135 1.072485 1.207732 1.362253 1.533625 1.738542
2025-02-02 0.696749 0.842107 1.013703 1.232222 1.504517 1.834479 2.267381
2025-02-09 0.606416 0.768380 0.969935 1.241168 1.599618 2.061262 2.707512
2025-02-16 0.540528 0.711495 0.933550 1.246192 1.679983 2.267887 3.137419
2025-02-23 0.496015 0.674756 0.915689 1.268614 1.779825 2.504897 3.631835
2025-03-02 0.443234 0.619883 0.865576 1.237805 1.797236 2.622522 3.961969
2025-03-09 0.415443 0.596525 0.856030 1.262130 1.894654 2.864253 4.506430
2025-03-16 0.381843 0.561057 0.824717 1.249290 1.931915 3.014862 4.920943
2025-03-23 0.358886 0.539046 0.810840 1.260731 2.006641 3.230261 5.466907
2025-03-30 0.331968 0.508446 0.780708 1.242624 2.029967 3.361324 5.880346
2025-04-06 0.310387 0.484306 0.758411 1.234580 2.068166 3.519776 6.360443
2025-04-13 0.281902 0.446837 0.711536 1.180734 2.021117 3.522107 6.546498
2025-04-20 0.269603 0.435269 0.706844 1.199786 2.106883 3.776528 7.260398
2025-04-27 0.258858 0.425474 0.704324 1.222394 2.201490 4.058290 8.070391
2025-05-04 0.246797 0.412417 0.694974 1.231430 2.270871 4.298259 8.826295
2025-05-11 0.235149 0.399156 0.684106 1.236392 2.332368 4.528607 9.593562
2025-05-18 0.227051 0.391528 0.682585 1.258620 2.429806 4.842500 10.593187
2025-05-25 0.212108 0.370513 0.655086 1.228080 2.416748 4.922423 11.062028
2025-06-01 0.205758 0.364755 0.655359 1.252192 2.519342 5.262555 12.204080
2025-06-08 0.195126 0.350299 0.638142 1.239465 2.541997 5.427832 12.938711
2025-06-15 0.188241 0.342436 0.632938 1.250806 2.617846 5.721988 14.047728
2025-06-22 0.178415 0.328299 0.614513 1.232858 2.626549 5.860305 14.767285
2025-06-29 0.170400 0.317180 0.601298 1.224884 2.657047 6.053923 15.668151